South Korea trims 2015 GDP growth forecast to 3.8% - MarketWatch SEOUL--South Korea's government trimmed its growth forecast for next year but said domestic demand--long a weak spot for the country--would contribute more to economic activity. The 2015 gross domestic product growth forecast was lowered to 3.8% from a Ju
Forecasting methods and analytical tools - OECD Statistical indicator models are nonetheless limited in their ability to forecast quarterly GDP growth. Even with a complete set of monthly indicators for the quarter, ...
Forecasting GDP with a Dynamic Factor Model - MathWorks This model uses a coincident indicator, or estimated common factor, to forecast GDP by means of a transfer function. The model estimates a common factor ...
GDPNow - Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta Latest forecast. The GDPNow model forecast for real GDP growth (seasonally adjusted annual rate) in the first quarter of 2015 was 0.1 percent on April 2, ...
Short-term forecasting of GDP using large monthly datasets ... Purely quarterly models are compared with models designed to exploit early releases of monthly indicators for the nowcast and forecast of quarterly GDP growth.
Growth Forecasts Using Time Series and Growth Models neoclassical growth model. We estimate a dynamic panel regression of (the logarithm of) real per capita GDP on itself lagged five years, and a number of lagged ...
Economic forecasting - Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia The World Bank model is available for individuals and organizations to run their own ... Methods of forecasting include Econometric models, Economic base ...
Forecasting GDP with a Dynamic Factor Model - MathWorks ... This model uses a coincident indicator, or estimated common factor, to forecast GDP by means of a transfer function. The model estimates a common factor ...
Evaluating GDP Forecasting Models for Korea; by Li ... - IMF 2011年3月1日 - 2011 International Monetary Fund. WP/11/53. IMF Working Paper. Asia and Pacific Department. Evaluation of GDP Forecast Models for Korea.
Real-time forecasting of GDP based on a large factor model ... terly indicators in order to estimate and forecast monthly GDP. ... monthly observations in the forecasting model leads to substantial improvements in the forecast ...